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Nokia Does a Map Deal, Signaling Strategic Bet

Nokia’s plans to acquire the map and navigational software maker Navteq for $8.1 billion raise the stakes in the competition among wireless carriers, handset makers and new entrants like Google and Microsoft to deliver information and advertising directly to cellphone users.

The acquisition, Nokia’s largest, is an indication of where Nokia and other handset makers are headed. Navteq specializes in location-based services, which uses the Global Positioning System to track movement and delivers information to a consumer about routes and destinations. Because the services could include advertisements and promotions related to the locations, wireless carriers and mobile phone makers see potential for new sources of revenue.

“It’s a step that moves us toward the Swiss Army phone,” said Roger Entner, a senior vice president for communications at IAG Research. “It tells you where to go, where to pick up your children, how to find your spouse. It does everything for you.”

Nokia, the world’s largest cellphone maker, said yesterday that it would pay $78 in cash for each share of the digital mapmaker, including outstanding options.

The acquisition is part of a broader strategic shift by Nokia, based in Finland, to transform itself from a maker of handsets, a notoriously low-margin business, to a provider of mobile services like photos, video, music and games.

Nokia recently revamped Nokia Maps to make it easier for consumers to use. It also bought Gate5, a small company based in Berlin that makes navigational software applications for cellphones. And two weeks ago, Nokia acquired Enpocket, a mobile advertising company based in Boston.

However, mobile service is already proving to be every bit as competitive as the handset business. Google, Yahoo and Microsoft all have ambitions to offer directions or maps to users via cellphone and to ply them with advertising along the way. Other electronics makers are also studying the market. TomTom, the world’s largest maker of car navigation devices, announced in August that it planned to buy Tele Atlas, Navteq’s main mapmaking competitor, for $2.7 billion.

“This is not just about ‘the Internet goes mobile,’” Richard A. Simonson, Nokia’s chief financial officer, said in an interview yesterday. “We’re not just trying to replicate the Google or Microsoft experience online. The consumer won’t come unless we give them something that is rich.” That includes using the Global Positioning System to help users find restaurants, theaters and shops. “That’s where we are headed,” Mr. Simonson said.

Information on traffic, updated in real time, would also help consumers reach their destinations more easily.

Unlike phones that access maps online — like the Apple iPhone, which accesses Google Maps via the Internet — Nokia cellphones could be integrated with Navteq’s navigational software and technology. That could give Nokia an edge over competitors like Motorola and Samsung, analysts said.

Today, most people who use G.P.S. do so through separate devices, though some can be linked to a cellphone. But with the growing popularity of smartphones, which are essentially hand-held computers, and the falling price and shrinking size of G.P.S. processors, it is becoming easier to access maps and other data that were once limited to personal computers.

“If you have never used one, it sounds high tech and kind of fancy,” said Charles S. Golvin, a wireless analyst with Forrester Research. “But it’s kind of like TiVo. Once you have it, it changes you. You have to pry it from people’s fingers.”

If Nokia wants to sell high-end phones, “they have to give consumers something different,” said Jack E. Gold, founder of J. Gold Associates, a technology research firm.

“Still they have to get beyond the coolness factor. After three months, is it still cool or are you moving on to something else?” he said. “They have to move beyond the next step; like, if I am driving, does it let me know about traffic accidents or where that bar or coffee shop is? Those are the concierge services that make it worth $10 a month or whatever they will charge. But if it saves you 45 minutes in traffic, then it’s worth a lot.”

For now the market for such services is tiny. But wireless carriers, mobile phone makers and others are salivating over the potential revenue if such phones catch on with consumers. In July, Sprint Nextel began a “friend finding” service from Loopt, based in Mountain View, Calif., that allows users to find their friends who are also using the service. “Carriers want to offer the same products, so there is likely to be some tension,” Mr. Golvin said.

Mr. Simonson, of Nokia, said the relationship with carriers is not tense now and that the two sides are realizing that they have to work together.

Nokia shares fell as much as 4 percent in New York trading after the announcement as some investors questioned whether the Finnish company had paid too much for a business that had $582 million in sales in 2006. Nokia shares rebounded, however, amid a broad rally in the market. The stock closed up 3 cents, at $37.96 a share on the New York Stock Exchange.

“This is a very high valuation for the U.S. company, so yes, this is a high price to pay,” said Mats Nystrom, an analyst at SEB Enskilda Bank in Stockholm. “But navigation is a hot area and fits well with Nokia’s strategy.”

Navteq shares fell $1.52, or 1.95 percent, to $76.45. The stock had been bid up since July on rumors that it was an acquisition target.

Judson C. Green, the chief executive of Navteq, said executives at the company, based in Chicago, talked to other potential bidders before agreeing to be acquired by Nokia, but he declined to say which ones. Analysts said Navteq would have been a good fit with Google because, although it dominates the search and online advertising businesses, it does not have the technology to make its own maps.

Google, like Yahoo, buys maps from Navteq.

Mr. Green said another reason he preferred an acquisition by Nokia was that Nokia had agreed to let the company remain an independent unit. The new parent company would bankroll improvements to service, including better block-to-block tracking of cellphone users as they walk down the street.

Both Mr. Green of Navteq and Mr. Simonson of Nokia said they were interested in expanding into emerging markets like China and India, where a growing middle class is widely using entry-level phones but could be eager for expanded services.

Tags:Nokia,Microsoft,Google,Cellphone

EBay Revises Its Ambitions for Skype

SAN FRANCISCO, Oct. 1 — EBay is finally acknowledging that it paid too much for the Internet phone company Skype two years ago.

On Monday, eBay, based in San Jose, Calif., said it was taking a $1.43 billion charge related to the acquisition of Skype. EBay paid $2.6 billion for the rapidly growing service in 2005.

Since the purchase, Skype’s membership rolls have swelled past 220 million. But the company has not had as much success making money as it has had growing. Skype does not charge its users for calls to other Skype users. There is only a small fee for calls to landline numbers and cellphones.

Skype earned $90 million during the second quarter of 2007, far below eBay’s projections. EBay said in a regulatory filing that the charge was “the result of the updated long-term financial outlook for Skype.”

The Skype deal helped to initiate a renewed acquisition frenzy in the online world, and a return to what some call a bubble mentality. After the spectacular dot-com flameout seven years ago, Internet executives pledged to begin judging technology companies by revenue rather than by something as ephemeral as “eyeballs,” or traffic on a Web site.

But somewhere along the line, the high-tech industry reverted to its old form.

“We are almost going back to year 2000 types of errors,” said Aaron Kessler, a senior Internet analyst at Piper Jaffray. Internet companies “are buying users instead of revenue and profitability. That’s what eBay did for Skype. They saw a great asset with tons of users but no clear monetization path.”

EBay has struggled to turn Skype’s popularity into profits. This year Skype added a “yellow pages” directory and ways for its users to rate businesses. Neither of those features has drawn much attention or activity.

EBay has also begun to integrate Skype calling into auctions on the eBay marketplace, in the hope that buyers and sellers would communicate better. But the success of that integration is almost impossible to measure.

“It has seemed relatively clear that Skype has underperformed even modest expectations for the last two years,” said Derek Brown, an analyst at Cantor Fitzgerald.

EBay also said Monday that as part of the $1.43 billion charge it was making a $530 million payout to Skype shareholders. When it bought Skype, eBay pledged to pay up to $1.7 billion if Skype met certain user growth and revenue goals.

The company also announced that Niklas Zennstrom, Skype’s chief executive and one of its founders, was stepping down to become nonexecutive chairman and would focus on his entrepreneurial efforts outside the company.

Hani Durzy, an eBay spokesman, said the parting was mutually agreed upon. “He could have continued to run the company, but he wanted to focus on new opportunities. He’s an entrepreneur at heart,” Mr. Durzi said.

Michael van Swaaij, eBay’s chief strategy officer, will act as chief executive of Skype until eBay hires a replacement.

The high price eBay paid for Skype now brings to mind some of the most flagrant mistakes of the first dot-com boom, like Time Warner’s purchase of America Online — and how some of those mistakes could be repeated in a new investment frenzy.

“Right after the bust, people started focusing on business models and revenue,” said Greg Sterling, a Silicon Valley analyst and consultant. “There has been a little bit of departure on that, with a focus on building the biggest audience and figuring that revenues will follow. That is the attitude that has prevailed over the last couple years, and it may not be sound.”

Tags:Skype,Ebay,America Online,outlook

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